Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD nears the 200-day SMA support

  • Gold eyes first test of the 200-day SMA since March. 
  • The metal risks closing below the long-term SMA support.

At the current price of $1,804 per ounce, gold is trading quite close to the widely-followed 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $1,797. 

The safe-haven metal is about to test the long-term SMA for the first time since March. 

A break below that support cannot be ruled out, as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is reporting bearish conditions with a below-50 print. Further, MACD histogram, an indicator used to gauge trend strength and trend changes, is charting deeper bars below the zero line, indicating a strengthening of the bearish momentum. 

A close below the 200-day SMA would shift the focus to $1,765 (May 18 high).  On the higher side, the former support-turned-hurdle of $1,850 is the level to beat for the bulls. 

The metal dived below the long-held floor of $1,850 earlier this week, signaling a resumption of the decline from the record high of $2,075 reached in August. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

 

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