US Dollar finds support around 89.00 ahead of US GDP

  • The index flirts with daily highs near 89.40 after finding support at 89.00.
  • US 10-year yields in 7-week lows around 2.78%/2.79%.
  • US Q4 GDP figures, Trade Balance and Pending Home Sales next on tap.

The greenback, in terms of the US Dollar Index, is now picking up extra traction and moves to the area of daily highs in the 89.40/50 band.

US Dollar looks to data

The index is clinching its second consecutive daily with gains and at the same time extending the bounce off recent multi-week lows in the 89.00 neighbourhood.

Increasing risk-on mood after NK Kim Jong-un said in China he is ready to meet with President Trump is accompanying the outflows from safer assets, pushing USD/JPY higher and therefore supporting the demand for the buck. In addition, BoJ’s H.Kuroda has once again reiterated earlier in the Asian session the ‘lower for longer’ stance from the central bank, adding to JPY-selling.

Also supporting the risk-on trade, yields of the key US 10-year reference have dropped to fresh 7-week lows around 2.78%, where are now looking to stabilize.

Looking ahead, US GDP figures for the October-December period are due next seconded by February’s Trade Balance and Pending Home Sales. Additionally, the EIA will publish its weekly report on US crude oil inventories.

US Dollar relevant levels

As of writing the index is up 0.13% at 89.45 and a break above 89.74 (10-day sma) would aim for 89.88 (23.6% Fibo of 95.15-88.25) and then 90.44 (high Mar.20). On the flip side, next support aligns at 88.94 (low Mar.27) seconded by 88.44 (low Jan.26) and then 88.25 (2018 low Feb.16).

USD/JPY jumps back above mid-105.00s, closer to Tuesday’s swing high

   •  Easing trade-war fears/geopolitical developments help regain traction.    •  A follow-through USD demand remains supportive of the up-move.  
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