Impressive AUD spike mostly fuelled by Aus trade surplus

FXStreet (Bali) - Aside from a solid retail sales number for Dec, the Australian trade surplus was the big shocker, leading the Australian Dollar to trip stops above 0.8940 to spike towards 0.8940, entering a thick kumo cloud, not penetrated since the last breakout to the downside on Nov 21.

Key Points on trade balance - Australian Bureau of Statistics

BALANCE ON GOODS AND SERVICES:In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $184m in December 2013, a turnaround of $250m on the deficit in November 2013. In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $468m in December 2013, an increase of $385m (464%) on the surplus in November 2013.

CREDITS (EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES): In seasonally adjusted terms, goods and services credits rose $1,023m (4%) to $28,511m. Non-rural goods rose $897m (5%), rural goods rose $521m (17%) and net exports of goods under merchanting rose $1m (2%). Non-monetary gold fell $373m (28%). Services credits fell $23m.

DEBITS (IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES): In seasonally adjusted terms, goods and services debits rose $638m (2%) to $28,042m. Capital goods rose $238m (4%), consumption goods rose $186m (3%), intermediate and other merchandise goods rose $123m (1%) and non-monetary gold rose $32m (10%). Services debits rose $59m (1%).

2013 SITUATION: In original terms, the balance on goods and services for 2013 was a deficit of $7.2b, a fall of $15.8b (69%) on the deficit of $23.1b recorded in 2012, resulting from a $18.4b (6%) increase in goods and services credits partly offset by a $2.5b (1%) increase in goods and services debits.

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