US: Hilary Clinton certain to secure the Democratic nomination - BBH

Research Team at BBH, suggests that given the primary results in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands over the weekend, and super-delegate (party officials rather than chosen in a primary) pledges, it appears that Clinton has sufficient delegates coming into today's primaries (five states including California) to secure the Democratic nomination. 

Key Quotes

"Today's primaries are still important, as Clinton would like to secure as many delegates as possible and to be able to claim victory without the super-delegates.  Sanders performance may determine his negotiating strength in setting the platform or other key decisions going forward. 

Typically, when a candidate secures their party's nomination, they see a bump in the polls.  Trump has had a particularly rough time over the last two weeks.  Even some of his supporters have cringed at some of the remarks.  To win, of course, Trump has to do better than Romney, the 2012 Republican candidate. 

Most surveys show that Trump is a few points ahead of Romney with the non-college educated white vote, but is lagging Romney by low double digits among the college educated whites.  Meanwhile, Clinton appears to be a couple of percentage points ahead of Obama with the African-American and Latino vote.”