25 Feb 2016
AUD/JPY: Selling dominates after soft Aus Capex outlook
AUD/JPY has been knocked lower following a worse-than-expected Australian capex outlook, sending the rate towards 80.30 day lows after algo-led initiated selling off 80.70 highs, with the pair now rebounding off lows, benefited but some Yen weakness in the Tokyo fix (00.50GMT).
Australian investment outlook getting poorer
Today's capex reflects a dire picture for capital expenditure intentions in the country, and while capex for Q4 2015 came in at +0.8% q/q vs -3.0% expected and -9.2% last, the first estimate of 2016/17 capex came at A$82.6 bln, with estimate 1 for 2016-17 at $82,572m, which is 19.5% lower than estimate 1 for 2015-16.
AUD/JPY key levels
On the downside, 80.10 down to 80.00 round number is the first area where sizeable bids are expected, followed by 79.60/70 recent trend lows, ahead of 79.20/79.00 (series of intraday lows Feb 11 and round number). On the upside, 80.50 mid round number is immediate resistance, ahead of 80.80/81.00 area, which should be a tough nut to crack.
Australian investment outlook getting poorer
Today's capex reflects a dire picture for capital expenditure intentions in the country, and while capex for Q4 2015 came in at +0.8% q/q vs -3.0% expected and -9.2% last, the first estimate of 2016/17 capex came at A$82.6 bln, with estimate 1 for 2016-17 at $82,572m, which is 19.5% lower than estimate 1 for 2015-16.
AUD/JPY key levels
On the downside, 80.10 down to 80.00 round number is the first area where sizeable bids are expected, followed by 79.60/70 recent trend lows, ahead of 79.20/79.00 (series of intraday lows Feb 11 and round number). On the upside, 80.50 mid round number is immediate resistance, ahead of 80.80/81.00 area, which should be a tough nut to crack.