Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD could set new records if the Fed signals that rate cuts are closer – Commerzbank

The strength of the Gold price is a little puzzling. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook.

A Fed rate cut has hardly moved any closer for most market participants

Despite the recent weak US economic data, a Fed rate cut has hardly moved any closer for most market participants. According to Fed Funds Futures, the first rate cut is not expected until June at the earliest. 

The Fed meets next week: a rate cut is not expected. But if the Fed's new projections and Fed Chairman Powell's words at the press conference can be interpreted as having increased the chances of faster interest rate cuts, the Gold market could even set new records, before the rally runs out of steam.